Managing Existing Portfolios Top Priority For CRE Firms, Managers

But bid-ask spread is decreasing, raising hopes for more transaction activity, Altus Group survey finds

Managing their existing portfolios will be the primary focus for 49 per cent of the Canadian commercial real estate industry executives who participated inĀ Altus Group’sĀ Q1 2024 Commercial Real Estate Industry Conditions & Sentiment Survey.

After managing existing portfolios, the biggest priorities according to the respondents were: raising capital (18 per cent); deploying capital (15 per cent); de-risking portfolios and divesting (10 per cent); and reassessing (eight per cent).

The cost of capital, development costs and inflation topped the list of expected priority issues over the next 12 months for the third consecutive quarter. Still, the percentage of respondents citing each declined slightly from the Q4 2023 survey.

Operating costs/expense management and tenant retention rounded out the top-five near-term priorities, while concerns about capital availability experienced a notable drop. Leasing/tenant retention was the only concern among the top five which increased between fourth quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2024.

The Altus research team surveyed 214 industry participants, representing a range of organization types and functional areas, from at least 55 Canadian firms between Jan. 23 and Feb. 9.

Asset pricing, interest rates and cap rates

Half or more of the respondents characterized land/development, hospitality and multifamily properties as ā€œoverpriced,ā€ while some viewed retail, office, multifamily and land to be ā€œunderpriced.ā€ Most respondents characterized the retail and industrial sectors as being ā€œfairly priced.ā€

The survey’s findings suggest the bid-ask spread, which contributed to lower transaction activity in 2023, might be compressing. This could lead to increased investment and transaction activity if the trend holds.

Forty-seven per cent of respondents expected interest rates to remain stable over the next 12 months, while another 47 per cent expected them to decrease, with only six per cent anticipating an increase. The percentage of executives expecting rate decreases jumped by 28 percentage points from the previous quarter.

One-third of respondents expected capitalization rates and cap rate spreads to increase over the next 12 months.

Distress and transaction activity

Fifty-eight per cent of respondents expected commercial real estate distress to increase over the next 12 months, down 20 percentage points from the previous quarter. Just 18 per cent had a high conviction in their directional call, a 22 percentage point drop from the fourth quarter.

Along with the expected increase in distress, 48 per cent of participants anticipated investment transaction activity to pick up in the coming year, up 19 percentage points from the prior quarter.

Seventy-one per cent of respondents planned to either buy, sell or both over the next six months, up from 67 per cent in the prior quarter.

Those from companies with commercial real estate exposure of between $500 million and $1 billion increased their transaction intentions by 26 percentage points; those with between $1 billion and $5 billion in investments increased theirs by 13 percentage points.

While 29 per cent of respondents indicated no intentions to transact in the near term, that was three percentage points lower than in the previous quarter.

Sixty-three per cent of respondents expected their geographic footprint to be of a similar size a year from now, while 24 per cent anticipated that it would be expanded and 13 per cent believed they would be in fewer markets.

Capital availability

While the overall expectation is that capital availability will be low over the next 12 months, net expectations have broadly improved since the previous quarter.

Survey participants expected the least amount of capital availability from real estate investment trusts and asset managers. They anticipated greater availability of equity capital from individuals, family offices, private equity and hedge funds.

Expectations for securitizations, mortgage REITs and insurers were heavily constrained. Canadian commercial real estate professionals expected debt funds and banks to have the greatest amount of capital availability over the next year.

The expectation for Canadian bank capital availability is in stark contrast to the belief in the United States.

Environmental, social and governance considerations

Thirty-nine per cent of respondents ā€œmoderatelyā€ factored environmental, social and governance (ESG) considerations into their capital decision-making process.

Respondents from institutions with greater than $5 billion in commercial real estate under management showed the most ESG consideration, with 67 per cent saying it either ā€œsignificantlyā€ or ā€œmoderatelyā€ affected their capital decisions.

Nearly two-thirds of respondents believed ESG needs ā€œinvestor or market demandā€ for it to be more widely considered and incorporated by the commercial real estate industry. ā€œPeer adoption or industry standardsā€ and ā€œregulation or legal clarityā€ were the next top responses.

Canadian respondents had higher confidence in ESG being adopted into the industry than their American counterparts.

Source Renx.ca. Click here to read a full story.

Dominate Your CRE Deals: 5 Automation Strategies For 2024

The Canada CRE sector experienced significant growth and resilience amidst evolving market dynamics, showcasing its strength and adaptability according theĀ CBREĀ andĀ JLL’s latest Canadian real estate market reports.

Leveraging technology-driven solutions has emerged as a critical strategy for capitalizing on this momentum and sustaining success in 2024 and beyond. This extensive guide delves into five indispensable strategies for automating the marketing and leasing process, empowering CRE professionals to navigate the complexities of the market and seize new opportunities in the year ahead.

Achieve higher profits

A revenue focused CRE solution must prioritize driving higher revenue while simultaneously lowering operational costs. When it comes to driving higher revenue, the two main levers are: Increasing lead and deal volume. Equally crucial is ensuring that executed deals are economically favourable.

Automation plays a pivotal role in achieving these goals by streamlining workflows, reducing manual interventions, and eliminating data fragmentation. By automating lead generation processes, CRE professionals can efficiently manage incoming inquiries, prioritize leads, and focus efforts on closing high-potential deals. The right technology partner can help you efficiently manage your deal pipeline using real-time, portfolio-wide data, that will support optimal profitability and accelerate deal velocity.

Maximize marketing outcomes

Successful marketing requires juggling multiple channels, like email, brochures, listing sites, and social media. Unfortunately, managing each platform individually can be resource-intensive and lead to inconsistencies, outdated information, and inaccuracies across your marketing efforts. Here’s where automated syndication tools come in. They streamline the distribution of your property listings across CRE platforms, marketplaces, and even your website. These tools seamlessly update details and availability, augmenting lead generation and overall marketing effectiveness. Additionally, automation simplifies listing updates, ensuring timely and consistent content everywhere. This significant reduction in manual effort empowers you to devote your attention to what truly matters: analyzing marketing performance and developing strategic initiatives.

Elevate lead-to-lease management

Efficient management of the lead-to-lease pipeline is critical to maximizing deal throughput and minimizing cycle times. However, disparate systems often hinder this efficiency, leading to delays due to disconnected processes, siloed communication, and inaccurate tenant information.

The right CRE solution addresses this issue by centralizing valuable data like number and type of leads, tour activity, lease expiration dates, and tenant information. This comprehensive portfolio overview provides full transparency and facilitates faster decision-making, empowering your staff to close better deals, faster.

Additionally, leveraging advanced approval workflows eliminates bottlenecks and expedites deal execution, while sophisticated tools automate letter of intent (LOI) creation, guaranteeing customized and accurate documents with minimal effort. The ideal software empowers your staff to seamlessly track communication, tasks, and activities in real-time within one platform.

Streamline deal evaluation

In today’s fast-paced business environment, real-time data access is crucial for informed decision-making. Firms need key information to evaluate deals, including the start date, rent schedule, tenant improvement costs, and lease term.

More quantitatively focused firms also require net effective rent (NER) – the discounted net rent averaged over the lease term after all expenses. The most advanced firms then compare NER to the underwriting budget, annual budget, prior lease, or a combination of these.

However, disconnected systems force dealmakers and asset management teams to manually track and compare this data. Resulting in errors, miscommunication and efforts wasted.

A connected deal management solution streamlines this process by automatically calculating NER and pulling relevant comparisons, eliminating manual effort. The solution should integrate seamlessly with the core property management system, allowing real-time access to underwriting budget, annual budget, and previous lease data.

Furthermore, approval workflows can be tied to these economic comparisons, empowering managers to approve deals with full transparency into the financial performance against budget. This data-driven approach ensures only the most profitable deals are closed, ultimately driving higher revenue.

Simplify lease document managementĀ 

The creation and management of lease documents are critical components of the leasing process. Unlike apartment leases, commercial leases were once considered too complex to automate. Fortunately, this perception has shifted.

New automation solutions offer a simplified approach to generating even intricate lease documents, reducing processing time by 80-90% and minimizing administrative overhead.

Sophisticated lease automation platforms enable CRE professionals to create lease and addenda templates, store clauses and options in libraries, create groups of clauses and options with a push of a button and minimal intervention. These functionalities, along with in-app editing, approval, and tracking, ensure a seamless signing process. Additionally, robust e-sign functionality facilitates secure and efficient electronic signing, further enhancing operational effectiveness.

Achieve success

The dynamic nature of the CRE market demands constant innovation. To stay ahead, CRE organizations can leverage easy-to-implement technology that streamlines workflows, marketing efforts, deal pipeline visibility, data analytics, and lease management in a single connected solution. This empowers CRE professionals to optimize operations, drive revenue growth, and maintain a competitive edge – making you a leader in the evolving CRE landscape.

Source Renx.ca. Click here to read a full story.

Primaris To Demolish Portion Of Windsor’s Devonshire Mall

A long-vacant formerĀ SearsĀ store at Primaris REIT’sĀ Devonshire MallĀ in Windsor will soon be demolished as part of a redevelopment that will open up land for future uses.

The space, which has a basement and two floors above ground, has remained largely vacant since Sears closed in early 2018. It was temporarily used byĀ Spirit HalloweenĀ as a pop-up outlet and served as a COVID-19 vaccination clinic for 10 months beginning in June 2021.

The removal of the Sears building will free up 18.5 acres and create an opportunity to reconfigure the outside entrance at that end of the mall.

ā€œThe cost of restoring it to modern environmental and safety standards was very high,ā€Ā Primaris REITĀ chief executive officer Alex Avery told RENX. ā€œSo we thought rather than spending a lot of money trying to repurpose that, we would do what’s right for the mall and create a new high-impact entrance like we have in other parts of the mall.ā€

Primaris took ownership of Devonshire Mall at the end of 2021 as part of its $800-million acquisition of six shopping centres and two related properties fromĀ Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan.

Next In Line For Review: Toronto’s Tall Buildings Guidelines

2023 was the year the City of Toronto started taking a harsh look at its Mid-Rise Building Design Guidelines.

In June 2023, council requested moving forward with community consultations regarding proposed changes to the Rear Transition Performance Standards, changes that aim to replace the “wedding-cake” effect caused by angular planes and current guidelines.

Next up would be the Tall Building Design Guidelines, which were adopted city-wide back in 2013.

Toronto’s tall building guidelines, although not perfect, are a crucial tool in shaping our city. Their significance becomes more evident when compared to many places where such a document simply does not exist.

It is then that you truly see how urban design suffers.

Consider the requirements for limiting floor plans and how the buildings should ā€œmeet the groundā€ for example. A quick look at several cities in the Middle East and East Asia shows how crucial these guidelines are and what the city looks like without them, when towers have no limitation on floor plates and they grow out in the centre of a big surface parking area.

Then we will start appreciating what Toronto’s Tall Building Design Guidelines have achieved.

Compared to other manuals, Toronto’s Tall Building Design Guidelines are clear, not overly strict and offer enough flexibility for design. Whether architects actually take advantage of that flexibility is a separate issue.

Where current guidelines fall short

With that positive disclaimer, here are the aspects where the guidelines are falling short (pun intended):

First, tall building guidelines are intended to provide a degree of certainty and clarity in interpretation, and while they are supposed to offer some flexibility in application, they wield significant influence in determining the height of our buildings, because they apply to the evaluation of all tall building proposals across the city.

One of the main objectives of these guidelines is to ensure tall buildings fit within the existing or planned context and facilitate an ā€œappropriateā€ transition to the surrounding lower-scale buildings. Introducing a 45-degree angular plane from lower-scale areas — which in Toronto mostly means areas designated as “Neighbourhoods” in the Official Plan (OP) land-use map — is one of the measures the guidelines implement to ensure this transition.

What is the problem with that?

Take properties along the Bloor-Danforth subway line, for instance. Those designated as mixed-use in the OP tend to be shallow and back onto the neighbourhoods. Try applying the 45-degree angle to these properties near the subway stations — which are by no doubt underutilized — to determine the potential permitted height.

What you get is . . . well, no tall buildings at all!

Even beyond that, why should height even be a question for tall buildings? Tall buildings offer the most efficient way of providing more homes while using less land. So, why impose a limit at all?

Construction costs and market demand will naturally dictate the height anyway.

What is an “appropriate” tall building site?

Next, identifying a site “appropriate” for a tall building development.

To evaluate a site’s suitability for tall buildings, the city considers its land use as well as the location and dimensions, particularly its depth. In this evaluation, there is a significant emphasis on ensuring the location and density of a prospective tall building are appropriate for the existing context of the site – which in Toronto predominantly consists of low-rise, low-density neighbourhoods.

However, the question of whether the existing context of a site is appropriate for the opportunities presented by its location is greatly overlooked. As a result, tall buildings are frequently placed in undesirable locations, like highways.

So, it seems contradictory when those who argue against tall buildings as desirable residential options and advocate for pushing them away from neighbourhoods – citing areas along major roads as the only ā€œappropriateā€ location for constructing them – are often the same individuals using the “bad outcomesā€ as a reason for deeming tall buildings undesirable. This approach refuses to give tall buildings a fair chance to evolve into vibrant communities from the outset.

Another restriction related to the form of tall buildings is the limitation of the floor plate to 750 square metres. The initial idea behind this restriction was to create a sleek and slender silhouette.

However, given the housing crisis we are in and the years of delivering poorly designed units to make developments financially viable within these constraints, the recent recommendation by housing minister Sean Fraser’s Affordability and Climate Change Task Force to increase the floor plate limitation seems timely. It is an adjustment that could relieve the rigid constraints and hopefully improve the quality of units.

Revising our height and floor-plate constraints is crucial to ensuring we can deliver much-needed housing in the crisis we are facing.

But how about taking it a step further? How about refraining from imposing overly restrictive form-related constraints on developments and instead focusing on factors that would improve quality.

Of course, floor-plate limitations are necessary to some extent, but they should not be overly deterministic. We need to start looking at our regulatory tools more holistically and systematically.

The impact of Inclusionary Zoning

Take the Inclusionary Zoning for example, a policy aimed at creating mixed-income housing by mandating a certain percentage of affordable units in new residential developments.

Currently, private developers must allocate five to 10 per cent of developments of more than 100 units (and larger than 8,000 square meters of residential gross floor area) as affordable housing, contingent upon the development’s location and whether it secures affordable ownership units or affordable rental units. This requirement is planned to incrementally increase to eight to 22 per cent by 2030.

It neither makes sense nor is practically sustainable in the long term when 90 per cent of building owners — many of whom could be first-time homebuyers new to the housing market — are taxed to bear the affordability burden of the remaining 10 per cent. However, if a height or density bonus was implemented, it could offer a more feasible and equitable solution for accommodating affordable units.

Moreover, easing strict regulations regarding height and density could create space for prioritizing the design of our tall buildings and the resulting aesthetics of our cities. While the guidelines touch upon design and articulation as essential aspects, they fail to enforce them.

Imagine this: What if we didn’t allow the use of the words “height” and “density” at Design Review Panel discussions and shifted the focus solely to “design” and in doing so ensured we have a diverse panel to enable a broader range of voices and design approaches to contribute?

This shift could elevate the significance of this crucial committee and help create urban landscapes we can take pride in — something we lack today.

Toronto is currently grappling with a serious design challenge. No doubt economic constraints play an important part, but we must explore ways to break away from the trend of repetitive windows and uninspiring facades in tall buildings, and build beautiful and distinctive urban spaces that are representative of our diverse and vibrant society.

A call for a cultural shift

But above all, and even more fundamental than shifting the focus of our regulatory tools, we need a cultural shift.

This is something our design guidelines have not yet addressed and may never even try to. We need to change how we perceive living in tall buildings and dense urban neighbourhoods as a society.

Times are changing rapidly, and so are our needs and challenges. To ensure we keep pace, public support, or at least stigma reduction, is crucial.

In a couple of decades, billions more people will be living in cities. The only environmentally and economically sustainable way to accommodate this new population is to create tall, dense and charming neighbourhoods designed to foster a human scale: neighbourhoods that prioritize the pedestrian experience, encouraging social and economic interactions at various levels.

Cities that successfully achieve this will lead the way in the future while those that fail will be left behind, missing out on the enormous growth and prosperity this new way of living can bring.

I hope Toronto will make the right decision.

Source Renx.ca. Click here to read a full story.

56-acre Life Science, Technology Park Proposed North Of Toronto

The owner of a 56-acre plot of land acquired 43 years ago for a hobby farm in Georgina, Ont., about an hour’s drive north of Toronto, is seeking to turn it into theĀ Canadian Life Science and Technology ParkĀ (CLSTP).

ā€œI have about 27 years of medical device, biotech and pharmaceutical experience, having served across multiple departments in multiple companies in the area of scientific commercialization, development of pharmaceuticals and biotech medical devices,ā€ said CLSTP founder Uzzo Calderaro, whose father purchased the Georgina site in 1981.

Calderaro said he has also been involved in designing and building specialized rooms for life sciences companies. He told RENX the proposed development stems from a recognition of the need for space to serve a wide array of sectors, including pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device, bioprocessing, health care, academia, digital and technology.

Calderaro enlisted Safa’a Al-Rais to become president and chief executive officer of CLSTP. Al-Rais has almost 20 years of experience in the pharma and biopharma spaces, working with different companies to scale up the development and manufacturing of associated products.

ā€œI’ve established a strategy that would establish the life science, health, health care and tech space cluster-like, whereby they can come together and become an ecosystem on a campus of some sort,ā€ Al-Rais told RENX.

Canadian Net REIT: ‘Strong Performance’ From Niche Retail

Canadian Net REIT’s strategy to acquire commercial real estate that is under the radar of most of its competitors appears to be paying off, its 2023 year-end financial results indicate.

“Despite the challenges faced in the real estate market throughout 2023, Canadian Net maintained its strong performance,” president and CEO Kevin Henley said as the Montreal-based REIT released its 2023 fourth-quarter results on March 19.

Canadian Net (NET-UN-X) says it concentrates on an ā€œunexploited real estate niche in Canada,ā€ with deal sizes that are under the radar of large REITs and institutions, but too large for individual investors.

It has 98 properties in Eastern Canada with $308 million in total assets and 1.45 million square feet of gross leasable area.

The REIT specializes in single-tenant, essential services properties with good access, visibility and high traffic, and boasts a 100 per cent occupancy rate. Tenants are primarily comprised of groceries, service stations and c-store chains and quick service restaurants.

Properties are mostly in Quebec and Ontario (61 per cent and 25.5 per cent respectively, as of June 30), and Nova Scotia and New Brunswick (13 per cent and 0.5 per cent).

Canadian Net REIT’s Q4 results

Rental income for the quarter ended Dec. 31, 2023 was $7.2 million, an increase of 2.8 per cent from the same quarter in 2022.

For the 12 months ended Dec. 31, 2023, rental income was $26.6 million, a 7.4 per cent increase from the same period in 2022. Net operating income was $19.4 million, 5.8 per cent higher than a year earlier, primarily reflecting the year-over-year increase in rental income and partially offset by property sales.

During an earnings call on March 20, Henley told analysts the REIT’s goal in 2024 is ā€œmostly to position ourselves better as we see more and more deals coming to market.ā€

However, given that the transactional market continues to be quiet due to interest rate volatility, ā€œour goal continues to be to recycle capital and optimize the REIT’s balance sheet, positioning ourselves to seize opportunities as they arise.ā€

Canadian Net sold three properties last year, including a single-tenant Pizza Hut property in Dartmouth, N.S., for $1.65 million and a Mike’s restaurant in Trois-RiviĆØres, Que., for $1.3 million.

ā€œWe’re always disposing of assets on an opportunistic basis as long as it’s accretive,ā€ he told analysts. “(Doing so) allows us to redeploy capital.ā€ More dispositions are expected this year.

Analyst upgrades Canadian NET to “buy”

Canaccord Genuity analyst Zachary Weisbrod upgraded Canadian Net from a “hold” to a “buy” after the fourth-quarter results were released.

“Our investment thesis is based on the fact that the REIT owns a stable portfolio leased to necessity-based tenants on triple-net-leases resulting in steady cash flow,ā€ Weisbrod wrote in a note.

ā€œFurther, fundamentals are healthy, in our view, which should lead to steady rent growth. The REIT operates with a conservative payout ratio, allowing for retained capital to fund growth, and is currently trading at an attractive valuation.ā€

Formerly known as Fronsac REIT, the trust changed its name in June 2021.

According to the REIT, its business model leads to lean overhead with virtually no cap ex.

Canadian Net REIT leases properties on a triple-net lease basis, so tenants incur maintenance costs, property taxes and insurance expenses. The REIT says this results in more stable and predictable cash flows and that overhead does not increase with new acquisitions.

It also incurs no management expenses and the trust can afford to pay increasing distributions as soon as it consolidates acquisitions. The REIT also has significant insider ownership, currently about 15 per cent.

The REIT leases primarily to credit-rated national tenants. Its top five tenants, representing 62 per cent of all tenants, are Loblaws (18 per cent), Walmart (14 per cent), Metro (12 per cent), Sobeys (12 per cent) and Suncor (six per cent).

REIT renews all 2023 lease expiries

During the earnings call, Henley said the REIT concentrated its Q4 2023 efforts on lease renewals, refinancing and property dispositions.

All leases expiring in 2023 were renewed during the quarter and most 2024 lease renewals were completed during 2023, he said. Twelve leases were up for renewal in 2024, representing around $1.7 million in NOI, and only two remain to be renewed.

Henley, who has been with the REIT for seven years, became president and CEO last year. He was formerly Canadian Net’s chief investment officer.

Canadian Net officials did not immediately respond to a request from RENX to be interviewed for this article.

Source Renx.ca. Click here to read a full story.

Local Owners Buy 200K-Sq.-Ft. Barrie Office/Retail Building

Downtown Lakeview Corporate Centre has troubled past; to be renamed Barrie City Centre

A 200,000-square-foot downtown Barrie mixed-use office and retail building with a prime location but a troubled past has new ownership and a sense of optimism about its future prospects.

Lakeview Corporate Centre, located at the corner of Collier and Mulcaster streets, was acquired by prominent local business owners Jamie Massie, Dino Melchior and Mike Stollery for $16.25 million.

ā€œThey’ll be great owners,ā€Ā Avison YoungĀ broker and principal Kelly Avison told RENX. ā€œThey’re well-respected businesspeople in Barrie.ā€

Avison Young brokered the sale and had been marketing the property since early 2023.

Lakeview Corporate Centre was completed in 2016 and features six storeys of office space rising from a three-storey commercial and parkade podium.

The building was purchased from HPI Advisory Inc., the court-appointed marketing and mortgage agent for owner Lakeview Corporate Centre Inc., which was affiliated with Toronto-based private finance firmĀ Morrison Financial.

ā€œThis is the best building in the whole city,ā€ Avison said. He also noted its proximity just a couple of blocks from the municipal and inter-city Barrie Bus Terminal at 24 Maple Ave. makes it easily accessible.

Canadian Retail CRE Snapshot: Quality Space ‘Shrinking Quickly’

JLL report cites continuing leasing demand, but little new space in development pipeline

Retail leasing in Canada’s major markets is stabilizing after a period of strong momentum amid a flight to quality locations.

JLLĀ recently releasedĀ retail insight reportsĀ for Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Toronto, Ottawa and Montreal, and executive vice-president of retail advisory services Casdin Parr spoke with RENX about both national trends and what’s happening in each of those markets.

The best high street locations in Vancouver and Toronto, as well as the best enclosed shopping centres and big box power centres across the country, are all performing well.

ā€œQuality inventory is shrinking quickly,ā€ Parr observed. ā€œComing out of the pandemic, there was much more availability in certain nodes and sectors, and that has very quickly been scooped up.ā€

Not a lot of retail space being built

While service-oriented retail on the ground floor of new mixed-use multiresidential buildings serves a need and plays an important role, it hasn’t swung the pendulum and had a major impact on the overall market.

High interest rates and construction costs have been the main factors behind a lack of new stand-alone retail space being built and that’s causing inventory shortages that are expected to continue.

This will also likely delay some retailers from expanding or entering the Canadian retail market.

ā€œWater hasn’t found its level in terms of the rents required to build new product,ā€ Parr said.

Retail isn’t without its challenges, with the loss of stores from chains includingĀ NordstromĀ andĀ Bed Bath & BeyondĀ over the past year. However, these challenges can also present new opportunities for other retailers, according to Parr.

Some of the Nordstrom store vacancies have already been filled and Parr said property managers for others are preparing to make new tenant announcements in the near future.

Parr said 80 to 90 per cent of the space vacated by Bed Bath & Beyond didn’t even hit the market because it was snatched up quickly by other retailers.

ā€œI think we’re in a really positive retail environment,ā€ said Parr. ā€œWe’re continuing to see numerous international retailers entering the Canadian marketplace year in and year out.

ā€œThere’s still appetite for growth by the retail community and I think the quality assets are going to continue to get stronger and try to find ways to improve.ā€

Vancouver

Retail inventory has historically been tight in Vancouver and that remains the case today.

The Vancouver retail leasing market has been thriving, with significant rental growth over the past five years. While home improvement, home furnishings and jewelry are out of favour, an appetite for electronics, shoes and clothing has emerged.

International tourism still has room to recover and downtown retail will be given a further boost when it does.

Parr said there’s been continued growth in suburban areas, including Surrey and Burnaby.

QuadReal’s 1.2-million-square-foot redevelopment of Oakridge Park shopping centre is expected to open in the Oakridge neighbourhood in the spring of 2025. It will feature a luxury component and the secondĀ Time Out MarketĀ in Canada.

Edmonton

The Edmonton retail leasing market is experiencing increased net absorption and consistent leasing volumes as major international retailers — particularly in the athletic, fashion and luxury sectors — are actively expanding their presence.

ā€œThe strength and momentum in Edmonton is more in the suburban parts of the city, at sites likeĀ West Edmonton Mall,Ā SouthgateĀ andĀ South Edmonton Common,ā€ Parr observed, adding new flagship stores have opened at both West Edmonton and Southgate.

ā€œThe downtown core in Edmonton still has some runway in front of it to find its footing. There’s been some good things that have happened in the downtown Edmonton core, but retail is lagging a little bit behind.ā€

Calgary

Calgary’s retail leasing market remains robust, although rent growth is showing signs of slowing from its peak in mid-2023. Leasing volumes remain strong and demand for retail space continues to outstrip supply.

ā€œFrom a retail perspective, Calgary is arguably the hottest market in the country right now,ā€ Parr said.

ā€œConsumer spending is back in a big way. As we always see in that market, it swings up and down and it’s certainly exceptionally strong right now.ā€

Toronto

Though rental growth has been decelerating, leasing momentum has continued to slow after its peak in late 2022. Overall retail sales have also plateaued, but food services, shoes, health and personal care, and sporting goods locations have all shown growth in sales.

ā€œToronto has been on a great run for the last 24 to 36 months,ā€ Parr said, ā€œand we’re going to continue to see more traction as the return to work in the downtown Toronto core continues to build momentum month after month.ā€

There’s also been growth in the suburbs and investments in theĀ YorkdaleĀ andĀ CF Sherway GardensĀ shopping centres have been paying off.

Toronto remains the focus of international brands wanting to enter the Canadian retail market.

Ottawa

Despite a slowdown in consumption, Ottawa’s retail leasing market remains highly competitive, with availability rates slightly decreasing and notable growth in net rents.

The limited new supply delivered in 2023 has sustained a market favourable to property owners and operators.

Parr is seeing strength in the suburbs, where he believes shopping and power centres have benefited due to more people working from home in those areas.

While new retailers have opened atĀ CF Rideau CentreĀ over the past year, overall retail growth has been slower in downtown Ottawa. It’s hoped that continuing recovery in international tourism will benefit downtown retailers.

Montreal

Retail sales slowed in Montreal in 2023 and that’s expected to continue this year. Downtown retail has been negatively impacted by ongoing infrastructure construction, particularly on Sainte-Catherine Street, which is expected to continue for at least two more years.

The news isn’t all negative, however, as increased public transit ridership and the improving tourism industry should spur retail.

ā€œMontreal has had a tremendous amount of interest in the marketplace from a number of brands that have not traditionally operated in the marketplace,ā€ Parr said.

Carbonleo’s 824,000-square-foot Royalmount shopping centre, which will provide a luxury shopping destination in midtown Montreal, is slated to open late this summer. It will include an aquarium and the city’s firstĀ Rec Room.

Source Renx.ca. Click here to read a full story.

Gta CRE Investment Volume Back On The Rise In Q4

Total commercial real estate investment volume in the Greater Toronto Area was $4.6 billion in Q4 2023, up from $4.1 billion in the previous quarter and $3.8 billion a year earlier.

That was perhaps the most welcomed news found inĀ Avison Young’s newĀ Greater Toronto investment review Q4 2023Ā report.

ā€œWe have been progressing through a more stable marketplace as a result of a number of factors, most particularly the steady rise in Government of Canada bond yields since October 2021,ā€ Avison Young capital markets principal Richard Chilcott told RENX in an email interview.

ā€œOctober 2023 saw the highest yields for many years and a drop in yield, together with a more stable outlook, has given investors a foundation upon which to price and deploy capital.ā€

Full-year sales volume of $20.4 billion was down eight per cent year-over-year, but still higher than any past year except the record-setting 2021 and 2022.

Industrial

There were 161 industrial transactions in the fourth quarter, accounting for 36 per cent of total transactions.

The $2.3 billion in sales during the quarter pushed total 2023 industrial real estate investment volume to a new high of $10.4 billion, smashing the previous record of $7.6 billion set in 2021.

Record-high investment activity for the industrial sector demonstrates these assets’ ongoing appeal while buyers adapt to a slight increase in availability and slower rental rate growth in what remains a tight leasing market.

The biggest Q4 industrial transaction wasĀ Oxford Properties’ $990-million sale of a 75 per cent share in itsĀ Brampton Business ParkĀ andĀ Vaughan Industrial ParkĀ properties to San Francisco-based global alternative asset management firmĀ TPG.

Retail

There were $1.1 billion in retail transactions in the fourth quarter.

The largest was LaSalle Investment Management acquiring a 49 per cent share in Vaughan Mills shopping centre from Ivanhoé Cambridge for $470.16 million as part of a syndication process.

While the number of retail properties that changed hands in the GTA in the fourth quarter and for the entire year was second only to industrial, the supply of desirable necessity-based retail assets is still less than the demand as many owners are holding onto these properties.

ā€œIndustrial and retail assets continue to be in high demand from a broad investor community,ā€ Chilcott observed.

ā€œPent-up demand with a clarity as to future performance allowed for a narrowing of the bid-ask spread and transactions naturally followed.

“The other asset classes are taking longer to establish broad demand while the vendor community remains unwilling to accept perceived opportunistic pricing.ā€

Industrial, commercial and investment land

There were $598 million in industrial, commercial and investment (ICI) land transactions in the fourth quarter.

The biggest fourth-quarter transaction wasĀ Times Group’s acquisition of approximately 80 acres at 3143 Nineteenth Ave. in Markham for $68 million.

The 2023 total of 6,803 acres of ICI land sold was down 46 per cent year-over-year while the number of transactions decreased by 55 per cent to 271.

The appeal of ICI land has waned as potential developers find themselves in an environment with higher interest rates and holding costs, rising construction costs and less certainty around returns on their investment.

This returned activity to more normal levels compared with the exceptional volumes of the previous two years.

Office

There were $299 million in office transactions in the fourth quarter.

No major downtown Toronto office assets changed hands in the quarter, resulting in the low sales volume.

The largest transaction of the quarter was a $26.15-million acquisition of an office property at 1295 N. Service Rd. in Burlington by a numbered company registered in Ontario.

Total office transaction volume was $3.1 billion in 2023, down 19 per cent year-over-year despite receiving a big boost fromĀ Allied Properties REIT’s third-quarter sale of its data centre portfolio for $1.35 billion to Japanese telecommunications firmĀ KDDI Corporation.

Multiresidential

There were $230 million in multiresidential transactions in the fourth quarter.

While investment activity in the sector was up nine per cent quarter-over-quarter, the full-year total of $1.3 billion was down 53 per cent year-over-year and the lowest annual total since 2016.

Uncertainty around the potential for rising interest rates earlier in 2023 resulted in a significant reduction in investment volume as buyers’ deferred decision-making pushed many deal closings beyond the end of the year.

The biggest transaction of the quarter wasĀ District Property Trust’s $69.8-million acquisition of an apartment building portfolio.

Increasing optimism for more transactions

ā€œWe expect all asset classes to offer more assets both on- and off-market,ā€ Chilcott said as he looked ahead to 2024.

ā€œPrivate and institutional capital is engaging with the marketplace and we expect a pickup in volume for all asset classes through the year.ā€

A stabilization in interest rates is expected to lead to greater investor confidence in structuring transactions and a resumption of more normalized deal volumes.

ā€œThe market has adjusted more quickly and has shown more resilience than many commentators have noted,ā€ Chilcott said.

ā€œThe willingness of buyers and sellers to come to terms so quickly is a testament to the availability and flexibility of capital in the Canadian real estate sector.

ā€œSome challenges continue to be worked through, but perhaps we have already returned to a more normalized marketplace with trailing asset classes finding their equilibrium and pricing throughout the year to come.ā€

Source Renx.ca. Click here to read a full story.

Canada’s CRE Market Might Be About To Turn The Corner

Senior executives strike optimistic tone when looking ahead at 2024 at RealCapital conference

The worst of the commercial real estate downturn appears to be over and, while there are still challenges ahead in the Canadian market, a sense of optimism continues to emerge.

That was the impression from senior real estate executives who offered perspectives on fundamentals, trends and strategies during the closing roundtable at the recentĀ RealCapitalĀ conference at theĀ Metro Toronto Convention Centre.

Resiliency and finding opportunities within the various markets have been the keys for many of these company leaders.

ā€œCredit has been the shining star for us in the last year-and-a-half,ā€ said Randy Hoffman, Oxford Properties’ executive vice-president of North America investments.

He highlighted Oxford’s investment in a variety of debt positions — including first mortgages and mezzanine investments across markets and sectors — which has been a growing part of the business since it was launched almost 15 years ago.

ā€œIt’s been generating some great returns for us.ā€

Oxford Properties GroupĀ is owned byĀ OMERS, a defined benefit pension plan with $128.6 billion in net assets across a global portfolio of public market, infrastructure, private equity, venture capital and real estate investments.

Hoffman said his company’s parent expects its portfolio to generate high single-digit returns.

Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan’s new operating model

Ontario Teachers’ Pension PlanĀ (OTPP) ownsĀ Cadillac FairviewĀ and announced last June an evolution of its operating model. OTPP has established an in-house real estate group that includes Cadillac Fairview’s global team of 37 investment professionals.

OTPP is focusing on global real estate investing and portfolio management. Cadillac Fairview manages the growth, diversification and densification of its Canadian portfolio and provides real estate services to OTPP.

OTPP’s real estate portfolio, including Cadillac Fairview assets, was valued at $29.3 billion as of June 30, 2023.

Pierre Cherki became OTPP’s executive managing director of real estate in January after spending most of his career atĀ DWS Group, a German alternative investments manager with a global real estate portfolio. He has also been a member of Cadillac Fairview’s board of directors since 2022.

ā€œWe need diversification and therefore we will continue to invest in non-Canadian markets,ā€ Cherki explained, noting an emphasis on industrial, multifamily and data centre properties, as well as alternative asset classes, in Canada and in other parts of the world.

ā€œBut there is no doubt in my mind that Canada will continue to be by far the largest part of our investment portfolio.ā€

Canada is an attractive place to invest

Nearly $17 billion ofĀ Blackstone’s nearly $600 billion global real estate portfolio is invested in Canada, and the Canadian business is growing.

Blackstone managing director and head of Canada real estate Janice Lin said the country is an attractive place to invest due to its growing population, a well-educated and high-quality workforce, stable financial and government systems, and supply challenges in most real estate asset classes.

Hazelview InvestmentsĀ chief executive officer Ugo Bizzarri said his company raises ā€œa fair bit of capitalā€ from foreign investors for many of the same reasons Lin had outlined.

Lin said asset classes such as data centres and student housing are ā€œvery nascent relative to many other places in the world, especially the U.S., which is a really interesting proposition.ā€ She’s trying to figure out how to incorporate those assets at scale into Blackstone’s Canadian portfolio.

ā€œI think what takes Canada from good to great is more foreign capital investing in our market,ā€ Hoffman said. ā€œTaking this from a market where a $500-million transaction is large and shallowly bid versus New York and London, where it is average and deeply bid, will take this market from good to great.ā€

Housing shortage will remain a problem

RioCan REITĀ chief operating officer John Ballantyne, who moderated the discussion withĀ RBC Capital Markets Real Estate GroupĀ managing director Nurit Altman, noted there are shortages of both housing and retail in Canada.

TheĀ Canada Mortgage and Housing CorporationĀ has said 3.5 million new homes must be built by 2030 to restore affordability andĀ CIBC World MarketsĀ deputy chief economist Benjamin Tal had said earlier in the day that number is actually much higher.

While Hazelview launched six multifamily projects last year and plans to launch six more this year, Bizzarri said even that lower 3.5-million-home goal won’t be reached. He believes housing affordability will remain a major issue and the situation could worsen.

Bizzarri thinks all levels of government should work together to try to solve the problem and emphasized that more tradespeople are needed among immigrants.

ā€œUnfortunately, there’s no cure,ā€ Bizzarri said. ā€œIt’s going to take 10 years of being very aggressive on the supply side to fix the affordability issue that we’re seeing in Toronto.ā€

Cherki and Lin emphasized this problem isn’t unique to Canada and is ongoing in cities around the world.

Office to multifamily conversions

Hoffman reiterated a well-known industry fact: a wide-scale solution won’t be found in converting office buildings to multifamily uses, because such conversions are difficult and expensive.

Altman pointed out that, despite slumping office building prices in Toronto, Vancouver and Montreal, they’re still too valuable to convert.

Hazelview has done three conversions and Bizzarri said he doesn’t want to do three more. In most cases he believes it would likely be a better option to tear down an existing office building and replace it with a purpose-built multifamily building.

Looking backwards and forwards

Although some major deals were transacted last year, Altman said volume was down about 30 per cent across Canada. She asked the panellists about the challenges and opportunities they faced last year and their outlook moving forward.

Lin believes the inflation of recent years is largely behind us, which should create stability, and she’s optimistic about the opportunities that will present themselves to Blackstone this year.

ā€œWe will just continue to lean into the sectors we like the most because we’re investors throughout cycles and we’re investors with a longer-term view,ā€ Lin said. ā€œWe look at where supply and demand are today, as well as over two, three, five and 10 years into the future.ā€

San Francisco-based global alternative asset management firmĀ TPGĀ acquired a 75 per cent stake in Oxford’sĀ Brampton Business ParkĀ andĀ Vaughan Industrial Park, which combine to encompass about 5.1 million square feet, in a December transaction that valued the fully leased portfolio at $1.3 billion.

Hoffman said Oxford didn’t set out to sell the portfolio but received interest from TPG. Oxford wanted to keep a piece of the action and TPG realized the value of retaining the company’s platform and people involved, so a deal that pleased both sides was struck.

ā€œThe thing that I found to be the most difficult component of the transaction was trying to procure financing,ā€ Hoffman said.

Alternative asset classes including data centres, self-storage and student housing may provide opportunities for Oxford this year, Hoffman noted.

ā€œReal estate fundamentals in Canada are very, very strong in multifamily, industrial, retail and even some office,ā€ said Bizzarri.